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Posted By Topic: MARKET WATCH 17th AUG 2012       - Views: 2691
stand up n wake up
17-Aug 2012 Friday 12:59 PM (4272 days ago)               #1
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STI         3,062      +1            +0.03%
DOW       13,250     +85          +0.65% 
S&P         1,416       +10         +0.71%
FTSE        5,835       +1           +0.03%
DAX          6,996       +49         +0.71%
GOLD         1,619       -0            -0.03% 
OIL             95.31       -0.29        -0.30%
PRE-HK OPEN   +163pts

CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL RISK APPETITE (EQUITY) :  -2.13
CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL RISK APPETITE               :   -1.26
 
FAR EAST HOSPITALITY REIT : $0.93 - LnT RECOMMENDATION to Subscribe ( Read Daily review for details)
 
 
 

17 Aug 2012 08:56

DJ MARKET TALK: Singapore's STI May Stall; 3000 Support Tipped 

0056 GMT [Dow Jones] Despite solid offshore leads, Singapore's STI may stall as players may take to the sidelines before the long holiday weekend and as they digest the recent rally. "Markets are a bit overstretched already. Macro-economic numbers still don't look good. Unless we see some signs of easing," says Kevin Scully, executive chairman at NRA Capital, "the market is likely to give up most of its gains," as they were in anticipation of further easing. He notes the results season is essentially over; "you are seeing indications from the corporate side that they are being affected by the slowdown in the EU and we are expecting more corporate guidance on the downside." He says the STI is probably near its upper limit, with a lot of the rise linked to FN (F99.SG) and OCBC (O39.SG) transactions he tips longer-term support levels at 3000, 2900 and 2700. The STI ended Thursday up 0.8 point at 3062.89, leaving chart-readers with a doji. Players may keep their powder dry, awaiting news after F&N and APB (A46.SG) requested trading halts. Swiber (AK3.SG) raised its Atlantis Navigation stake to 98.8%
 
 
 

17 Aug 2012 08:35

DJ MARKET TALK: Swiber May Outperform;Buys Additional Atlantis Stake 

0035 GMT [Dow Jones] Swiber (AK3.SG) may outperform, partly on a sentiment fillip from crude oil prices' continued climb and after it announced it acquired 49.5% of Atlantis Navigation for US$18.3 million, bringing its total stake to 98.8%. Atlantis, an investment holding company, owns two vessels. "It's not very surprising," an analyst says, noting management earlier mentioned its desire to increase its stake in the company. She expects the deal will "quite likely" boost Swiber's earnings if its performance continues. Another analyst notes the deal "will probably help them in reducing their chartering costs." She notes the funding shouldn't be an issue. The stock ended up 2.5% at S$0.61. The stock may find near-term resistance around the S$0.70-zone, levels last touched in March; initial support may come around S$0.58-S$0.59, where its 10-day and 100-day moving averages and 200-day exponential moving average cluster
 




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ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

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stand up n wake up
17-Aug 2012 Friday 1:02 PM (4272 days ago)            #2
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ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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stand up n wake up
17-Aug 2012 Friday 1:05 PM (4272 days ago)            #3
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|MARKET PULSE: Dyna-Mac, Bumi Armada, UEEC                                                                                                           |
|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
|                                                                                                                                         17 Aug 2012|
|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
|KEY IDEA                                                                                                                                            |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|Dyna-Mac Holdings Ltd: Ramping up production                                                                                                        |
|Dyna-Mac Holdings Ltd (Dyna-Mac)’s 2Q12 results improved significantly with a 145.7% QoQ jump in revenue to S$57.8m and a 82.6% QoQ increase in net |
|profit to S$6.1m. Management explained that the improvement was mainly due to faster revenue recognition as its projects proceeded into the middle  |
|stages. The group has an order-book of S$203m and expects most of it to be recognized by year-end. We updated our model for the 2Q12 results and as |
|we roll forward our projections to FY13F, our fair value estimate increases to S$0.52 (previously S$0.45). Maintain BUY. (Chia Jiunyang)            |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|MORE REPORTS                                                                                                                                        |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|Bumi Armada: 2Q results below expectations                                                                                                          |
|Although Bumi Armada Berhad (BAB) reported a 52.6% YoY increase in 2Q net profit to MYR91.9m, the results were generally below ours and the street’s|
|expectations. 1H12 net profit attributable to shareholders was MYR182.6m and formed only 40% and 33% of ours and the street’s full year estimates.  |
|With the uncertainty in the global economy, oil companies have turned more cautious and have delayed the awards of FPSO contracts. This has         |
|inevitably affected BAB (and other FPSO operators). We now cut our two FPSO wins per year assumption to just one for FY12-13F, and lowered our      |
|FY12-13 EPS by 9-16%. Accordingly, our fair value estimate decreases to MYR3.36 (previously MYR3.57). Maintain HOLD. (Chia Jiunyang)                |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|UE E&C: Construction pace picking up                                                                                                                |
|UE E&C’s 2Q revenue and net profit increased by 51% and 62% QoQ to S$85.5m and S$6.4m respectively. The construction pace hastened in 2Q and we     |
|expect it to pick up further in 2H12F as most of its development projects (i.e. Austville) are now substantially sold. Operating margin improved to |
|10.5% (1Q12: 7.0%), but remains within the typical range of 7-12%. The group needs to quickly replenish its order-book (est. S$400m) as the majority|
|of its existing construction and engineering projects are due for completion within a year (by Aug 2013). We continue to like UE E&C for its        |
|disciplined approach in project bidding and believe it is well-positioned against recession risks. Maintain BUYwith unchanged fair value estimate of|
|S$0.71. (Chia Jiunyang)                                                                                                                             |
|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|For more information on the above, visit www.ocbcresearch.comfor the detailed report.                                                               |
|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|NEWS HEADLINES                                                                                                                                      |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|- Both Fraser and Neave and Asia Pacific Breweries have requested for a trading halt in their shares pending the release of an announcement.        |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|- The deal value of global technology M&A slipped 43% to US$33.4b in 2Q12, from US$58.3b a year ago, according to a study by Ernst & Young.         |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|- Tycoon Goh Cheng Liang is offering S$0.14 per share in cash to take Superior Multi-Packaging private, valuing the company at S$51.8m.             |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|- Moody's Investors Service downgraded the senior unsecured ratings for both SingTel and its Australian unit Optus Finance Pty Limited.             |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|- Otto Marine has clinched a US$10m time-charter contract for its maintenance and construction/ accommodation support vessel, Seasafe Supporter.    |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|- Swiber Holdings Limited will be acquiring a further 49.5% interest in Atlantis Navigation AS for US$18.3m.                                        |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|- Marina Bay Financial Centre has signed on new tenants at its Tower 3 office building, raising its overall commitment level to over 70% to 890,000 |
|sq ft.                                                                                                                                              |
|                                                                                                                                                    |
|- Far East Organization has priced the sale of its Far East Hospitality Trust at S$0.93 per stapled security, representing the top of the indicated |
|S$0.86-S$0.93 range.                                                                                                                                




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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stand up n wake up
17-Aug 2012 Friday 1:06 PM (4272 days ago)            #4
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ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

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stand up n wake up
17-Aug 2012 Friday 1:07 PM (4272 days ago)            #5
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Today’s Focus


§        STI target rolled forward to 3200 based on 13.3x (-0.5SD) FY13F earnings

§        Top slice yield plays – CMT, CCT, Cache, CDL HL, SingTel & Starhub

§        Switch to cyclicals ASL, Ezion, STX OSV and bombed out stocks Tiger, Yangzijiang




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
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Team Ranked: #17 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 7,179,375 Total Members: 122
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stand up n wake up
17-Aug 2012 Friday 1:11 PM (4272 days ago)            #6
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Singapore

Wired Daily

Page 2

Share Buy-Back

Company D.O.T. Buy/Sell No.of shares S$/shr

Pan-United Corporation Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 113,000 0.6085

Hisaka Holdings 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 3,600,000 0.3249

See Hup Seng Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 985,000 0.1967

Straco Corporation Limited 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 90,000 0.2100

CDW Holding Limited 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 5,000 0.0910

Global Testing Corporation Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 0.0600

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 9.4000

Second Chance Properties Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 3,983,000 0.3900

KSH Holdings Limited 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 206,000 0.2200

Wee Hur Holdings Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 2,654,000 0.2800

HG Metal Manufacturing Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 1,200,000 0.0800

HG Metal Manufacturing Ltd 15-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 200,000 0.0800

Macquarie Int'l Infra Fund Ltd 15-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 2,740,000 0.5537

CSC Holdings Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 200,000 0.1010

HG Metal Manufacturing Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 850,000 0.0808

KSH Holdings Limited 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 482,000 0.2100

Koh Brothers Group Limited 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 83,000 0.2050

Macquarie Int'l Infra Fund Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 1,299,000 0.5500

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 9.4200

Pan-United Corporation Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 130,000 0.6050

Second Chance Properties Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 527,000 0.3850

Viking Offshore and Marine Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 112,000 0.1040

Koh Brothers Group Limited 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 65,000 0.2050

Macquarie Int'l Infra Fund Ltd 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 858,000 0.5518

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 9.3700

Pan-United Corporation Ltd 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 415,000 0.5978

Second Chance Properties Ltd 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 3,043,000 0.3850

Straco Corporation Limited 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 220,000 0.2050

Wee Hur Holdings Ltd 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 650,000 0.2850

Source: SGX Masnet

Substantial Shareholders’ Transactions: 2 Aug – 8 Aug 2012

*Deemed Interest

Source: Business Times; SA: Share Allotment; ST: Share Transfer, B/R: Bonus/Rights Issue; OE: Option Exercise; PL: Placement Shares

Stock Transacted Date Substantial Shareholder/ Director

Buy/Sell/

Conv

No of

Shares

('000)

Price Per

Share $

%Issued Cap

Before

Change

%Issued Cap

After Change

Aspial Corp 08-Aug-12 Koh Wee Seng Buy 600 0.39 14.13 14.17

Oceanus Group 07-Aug-12 Yu De Hua * Sell 1100 na 17.47 17.42

Oceanus Group 07-Aug-12 Yu Yang Sell 1100 na 8.22 8.18

GKE Corp 07-Aug-12 Liu Jichun * Buy 20 0.15 3.54 3.55

GKE Corp 06-Aug-12 Liu Jichun * Buy 700 0.15 3.39 3.54

GKE Corp 06-Aug-12 Kwan Chee Seng Buy 1010 na 5.31 5.53

IPC Corp 06-Aug-12 Oei Hong Leong Buy 19539 na 23.10 25.39

GKE Corp 06-Aug-12 Kwan Chee Seng Buy 1010 na 5.31 5.53

Hartawan Holdings 03-Aug-12 Lian Seng Investment Buy 1000 na 9.99 10.11

CapitaLand 03-Aug-12 Liew Mun Leong Sell 1000 3.08 0.08 0.06

Tianjin Zhong 03-Aug-12 Pure Heart Value Investm Fd Buy 107 na 9.29 9.34

Grand Banls Yachts 02-Aug-12 Shinetown Ltd Sell 2291 na 7.07 4.68

LionGold Corp 02-Aug-12 Nomura International * Buy 4877 1.26 1.00 1.61

LionGold Corp 02-Aug-12 Nomura Holdings * Buy 4877 na 4.66 5.26

Singapore

Wired Daily

Page 2

Share Buy-Back

Company D.O.T. Buy/Sell No.of shares S$/shr

Pan-United Corporation Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 113,000 0.6085

Hisaka Holdings 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 3,600,000 0.3249

See Hup Seng Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 985,000 0.1967

Straco Corporation Limited 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 90,000 0.2100

CDW Holding Limited 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 5,000 0.0910

Global Testing Corporation Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 0.0600

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 9.4000

Second Chance Properties Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 3,983,000 0.3900

KSH Holdings Limited 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 206,000 0.2200

Wee Hur Holdings Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 2,654,000 0.2800

HG Metal Manufacturing Ltd 16-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 1,200,000 0.0800

HG Metal Manufacturing Ltd 15-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 200,000 0.0800

Macquarie Int'l Infra Fund Ltd 15-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 2,740,000 0.5537

CSC Holdings Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 200,000 0.1010

HG Metal Manufacturing Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 850,000 0.0808

KSH Holdings Limited 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 482,000 0.2100

Koh Brothers Group Limited 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 83,000 0.2050

Macquarie Int'l Infra Fund Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 1,299,000 0.5500

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 9.4200

Pan-United Corporation Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 130,000 0.6050

Second Chance Properties Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 527,000 0.3850

Viking Offshore and Marine Ltd 14-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 112,000 0.1040

Koh Brothers Group Limited 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 65,000 0.2050

Macquarie Int'l Infra Fund Ltd 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 858,000 0.5518

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 9.3700

Pan-United Corporation Ltd 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 415,000 0.5978

Second Chance Properties Ltd 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 3,043,000 0.3850

Straco Corporation Limited 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 220,000 0.2050

Wee Hur Holdings Ltd 13-Aug-12 Share Buy-Back 650,000 0.2850

Source: SGX Masnet

Substantial Shareholders’ Transactions: 2 Aug – 8 Aug 2012

*Deemed Interest

Source: Business Times; SA: Share Allotment; ST: Share Transfer, B/R: Bonus/Rights Issue; OE: Option Exercise; PL: Placement Shares

Stock Transacted Date Substantial Shareholder/ Director

Buy/Sell/

Conv

No of

Shares

('000)

Price Per

Share $

%Issued Cap

Before

Change

%Issued Cap

After Change

Aspial Corp 08-Aug-12 Koh Wee Seng Buy 600 0.39 14.13 14.17

Oceanus Group 07-Aug-12 Yu De Hua * Sell 1100 na 17.47 17.42

Oceanus Group 07-Aug-12 Yu Yang Sell 1100 na 8.22 8.18

GKE Corp 07-Aug-12 Liu Jichun * Buy 20 0.15 3.54 3.55

GKE Corp 06-Aug-12 Liu Jichun * Buy 700 0.15 3.39 3.54

GKE Corp 06-Aug-12 Kwan Chee Seng Buy 1010 na 5.31 5.53

IPC Corp 06-Aug-12 Oei Hong Leong Buy 19539 na 23.10 25.39

GKE Corp 06-Aug-12 Kwan Chee Seng Buy 1010 na 5.31 5.53

Hartawan Holdings 03-Aug-12 Lian Seng Investment Buy 1000 na 9.99 10.11

CapitaLand 03-Aug-12 Liew Mun Leong Sell 1000 3.08 0.08 0.06

Tianjin Zhong 03-Aug-12 Pure Heart Value Investm Fd Buy 107 na 9.29 9.34

Grand Banls Yachts 02-Aug-12 Shinetown Ltd Sell 2291 na 7.07 4.68

LionGold Corp 02-Aug-12 Nomura International * Buy 4877 1.26 1.00 1.61

LionGold Corp 02-Aug-12 Nomura Holdings * Buy 4877 na 4.66 5.26




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stand up n wake up
17-Aug 2012 Friday 1:12 PM (4272 days ago)            #7
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      Selective risk on trades as we await policy actions

·        STI’s target rolled to 3200 to capture 2013’s earnings growth

·        Top slice yield plays, add cyclicals with earnings visibility and bombed out stocks

Roll forward STI valuation to capture 2013’s growth.  Mediocre earnings in 2012 will be a non-event. We roll forward our STI target, pegged to 2013 earnings, to capture recovery trades in cyclical sectors.  Based on 13.3x (-0.5SD) on 2013 earnings, STI’s target valuation is 3200.

Awaiting further policy moves.   Mid-September could turn out to be an eventful period. The German constitutional court will rule on the legality of the ESM on September 12 while the FED heads for the next FOMC meeting on September 13 standing ready to provide additional measures when needed. Meanwhile, Asian central banks have more flexibility to fine tune monetary policies as these have been tightened much more than relaxed since 2010 and as inflation pressures ease.

Top slice selected REITS and Telcos. We advocated investing in yield plays since March 2012. Our yield picks – primarily REITs and telecoms stocks have outperformed on a 3 to 6 month basis. Yield gap for REITs has compressed from 6% in March 2012 to the current 4.5%. We prefer to be selective on yield plays and will top slice REITs where we see limited potential in yield compression– CapitaMall Trust, Capita Commercial Trust, Cache Logistics, CDL Hospitality and Ascendas India Trust. Singtelwas downgraded in July on weak earnings from Bharti due to high competition in India and the weak Rupee. Together with recent downgrade by Moody’s, these will cap SingTel’s share price performance in the near term.

Switch to cyclical stocks with earnings visibility…  We believe it is still early to add cyclicals in the transport and commodities related sectors which are vulnerable to the weak global economy. We prefer to add positions in cyclicals with earnings visibility, which are found mainly in oil and gas proxies. These are companies are backed by strong order books for projects - Keppel Corp, SembCorp Marine, ASL Marine, STX OSV, Ezion - or high level of steady income - CMA, GLP - while Tat Hong is riding high on the upturn in the regional construction industry.

…or bombed out cyclicals.  We reiterate our buy calls for Tiger, a turnaround play with its operations in Australia in full swing by October 2012. Biosensors’ remain a steal for a company with 30% earnings growth and strong competitive advantage. Yangzijiang is a well managed shipyard, trading at undemanding PE of 5x and backed by dividend yield of 6.2%.
 




....



ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家...BET WITH CARE AND OWN RISKS..NOTHING IS 100% AND NO 100% GUARANTEE DONT LOVE A STOCK,THE STOCK WILL NEVER LOVE YOU BACK

ASIANBOOKIE.COM..亚洲庄家..Always believe miracle do happen The decision lies in you,dun follow my luan luan picks blindly..PLEASE DO NOT FOLLOW BLINDLY..I ANYHOW PICKS ..祝你好运..鸿运当头 。好运连连 發。發。發。

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
AB Charity
(Est. Apr 2012)

Team Ranked: #17 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 7,179,375 Total Members: 122
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