MARKET WATCH 6th SEP 2012 - AsianBookie.Com Forums

06-Sep 2012 Thursday 10:06 AM (4253 days ago)

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STI         2,996     -16     -0.52%
DOW      13,047    +12     +0.09%
S&P        1,403      -2        -0.11%
FTSE       5,658       -14     -0.25%
DAX         6,965        +32     +0.46%
GOLD       1,695         +1       +0.06%
OIL          95.84          +0.48   +0.50%
PRE-HK OPEN +104pts

CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL RISK APPETITE (EQUITY): -1.84 (4 Sep 2012)
CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL RISK APPETITE              :   -1.76 (4 Sep 2012)

06 Sep 2012 08:39

DJ MARKET TALK: Singapore's STI May Rise; 3000 Resistance Eyed

0039 GMT [Dow Jones] Singapore's STI may head north to rechallenge 3000 as regional markets already trading are mostly modestly higher. "It will track the overseas market movement," says Jonathan Ng, deputy head of research at CIMB. "There's really no major news locally to boost the market." People familiar with the matter told Dow Jones the ECB will weigh a plan to purchase government bonds with maturities up to around three years. But Ng isn't enthusiastic about the move; "I don't think that really helps that much." The STI ended Wednesday down 0.5% at 2995.90. Initial support is likely at 2980, while efforts to cross over the 3000 barrier will be closely watched. Among stocks likely in focus, F&N (F99.SG) called a shareholders meeting for Sept. 28 to vote on Heineken's (HEIA.AE) bid for its APB (A46.SG) holding. CapitaMalls Asia (JS8.SG) plans to buy a new shopping mall in Wuhan, China, for CNY1.16 billion, its third in the city. Golden Agri (E5H.SG) requested a trading halt pending an announcement.

06 Sep 2012 08:15

*DJ DBS Group Downgraded To Neutral From Accumulate By Phillip Securities

06 Sep 2012 08:35

WSJ(9/6) Singapore Bets On Casino Revenues

 (From THE WALL STREET JOURNAL) By Chun Han Wong

SINGAPORE -- Two years ago, Singapore launched its first casinos in a bold bet that it could bolster its economy without attracting social ills, such as organized crime and gambling addiction, that have plagued other casino capitals.
Today, its two new casinos -- Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s Marina Bay Sands and Genting Singapore PLC's Resorts World Sentosa -- are financial winners, generating about US$6 billion in gross gambling revenue in 2011. But the social experiment has yielded mixed results, pressuring authorities to do more to contain gambling ills even as the global slowdown and rising competition threaten growth in the country's fledgling casino industry.
The feared rise in organized crime never materialized, and gambling overall in the city-state has actually declined. But government leaders are concerned about surveys that indicate more low-income residents are betting larger sums and frequent gamblers are playing more often, while more people are seeking counseling for gambling troubles.
In response, the government is upping the ante. Authorities recently expanded a program that prohibits locals who are bankrupt or reliant on government aid from going into casinos. In July, the government proposed increasing disciplinary penalties for casino operators that don't follow Singapore's casino-control laws, which include taxing locals S$100 (US$80) a day or S$2,000 annually to enter the casinos and tough limits on gamblers' ability to get credit. More steps are in the works.
Singapore already had some of the strictest casino rules in Asia, with restrictions that prohibit casino advertising targeting locals and limits on the presence of junket operators -- middlemen who bring high-spending gamblers to the tables, issue credit and collect on debts in exchange for commissions. They are the linchpin of the world's largest gambling hub by revenue, Macau, but they have largely been blocked from operating in Singapore so far.
The results of Singapore's experiment are being watched closely. Lawmakers in Japan, backed by gambling interests like U.S. billionaire Sheldon Adelson's Las Vegas Sands, have stepped up calls for casino legalization to help revitalize the economy. Taiwan and Mongolia have flirted with the idea, as have U.S. markets like Miami.
It still isn't clear how well policies like the ones enforced in Singapore work -- or whether they can be sustained in the long run, especially as casino revenue growth slows and other countries launch competitors.
"Singapore's regulatory approach is a good approach in principle [but] the evidence would indicate that these policies have actually had a relatively minor impact," said Robert Williams, a professor at Canada's University of Lethbridge and researcher at the Alberta Gambling Research Institute. Others disagree, saying the rules have helped to prevent trouble.
The data are somewhat inconclusive. The casinos say visits by citizens and permanent residents -- estimated to account for about 20% to 30% of all visitors -- declined in 2011 from the previous year. The overall gambling rate among locals age 18 and above fell to 47% in 2011 from 54% in 2008, according to a survey published by the National Council on Problem Gambling in February.
The crime rate in Singapore fell 5.3% last year from 2010 to a 20-year low, while casino-related crime -- mainly cases of theft, cheating and counterfeiting -- has remained stable at less than 2% of total crime in 2010 and 2011, according to police data.
But more low-income players are betting large sums while frequent gamblers are playing more often, the latest NCPG survey found. "We note from [the NCPG survey] that problem gambling issues in Singapore are largely contained," Singapore's Ministry of Community Development, Youth and Sports said. "However, we prefer to be proactive" in tackling gambling-related social problems.
Singapore's move to tighten casino regulations hasn't met much resistance from casino operators so far. Las Vegas Sands' Mr. Adelson said in July that his company doesn't expect the tighter rules to significantly hurt its business. "We don't have a problem if [Singapore] wants to put a limitation on either visitation or the exclusion of very poor people," he told analysts in an earnings call. "We don't see the future coming out of poor, unfortunate, very vulnerable people."
But underscoring the pressures casinos may feel to open their doors to more gamblers, both Marina Bay Sands and Genting Singapore reported weaker second-quarter earnings, citing declines in business volumes.
For Singapore, the longer-term question is whether future governments will be tempted to ease controls if growth in casino revenue plateaus.
A battleground could be junket operators -- the most potent potential growth booster, as Singapore is legally bound to not add new casinos until 2017. While experts say Singapore doesn't intend to let junkets dominate its gambling scene, some analysts say authorities may be compelled to license more of them if revenues wilt.

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06-Sep 2012 Thursday 10:07 AM (4253 days ago)

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06-Sep 2012 Thursday 10:08 AM (4253 days ago)

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Sunny Side Up: Commodities Sector Update - Not out of the woods yet |
Tiger Airways - Expansion Work-in-Progress

What’s cooking

Commodities Sector Update: Not out of the woods yet
· Investors hoping for a turnaround in the fortunes of this sector
would have been disappointed by the recent set of 2QCY12 results. In our
opinion, Noble had the best quarter. Similar to last quarter, most of the
earnings weakness still appears to be traceable to China.
· While there are expectations of QE3, we do not think this is
fundamentally beneficiary to commodity traders who are mostly price
neutral. For stock prices, impact is also likely to be muted and probably
already front-loaded.
· Our Sector preference remains Noble, given its more diversified
portfolio, turnaround in earnings and robust balance sheet. We remain most
negative on Wilmar.
Click here for full report
[email protected]

Tiger Airways: Expansion Work-in-Progress

TGR SP | Mkt Cap USD469.7m | ADTV USD1.1m

· We see a recovery trend emerging from Tiger Airways. Australian
operations, although still loss-making, look to be on a slow-but-steady
recovery from their Jul-Aug 2011 grounding of Australian flights.
· The recent completion of Tiger’s 40% investment in SEAir will be
their second joint-venture. These JVs look to point the way to jump-start
operations outside of Tiger’s current geographical base.
· While macro signs remain ominous for the aviation industry, we
believe the company might be showing signs of a turnaround, with the stock
trading at a valuation trough of ~2.5x P/BV.
Click here for full report
[email protected]

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06-Sep 2012 Thursday 10:09 AM (4253 days ago)

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The next 6 days could make or break markets
Commentary: Time to make money — or lose it
By Michael Casey
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — It’s time to put down the margarita, climb out of
the hammock, and perk up.
If ever there were a week to end the sleepy calm of an uneventful summer in
world markets, it is the one that’s about to hit us. The next six trading
days are full of what traders call “event risk,” or what we journalists
call “news.” That could break currencies and other markets out of their
narrow trading ranges. It will be a week to make money — or to lose it.
Here’s what’s on tap:
Thursday, Sept. 6: Mario Draghi’s press conference. The president of
the European Central Bank will be locked in a room with a hundred or
so journalists, each eager to extract details on his plan for the ECB
to buy the bonds of troubled European sovereign nations such as Italy
and Spain. And in the meeting of the central bank’s governing council
that precedes this media event, the ECB’s decision makers might
actually vote on the initiative. Over the past month, European bond
markets have rallied--along with the euro and various risk-sensitive
assets--as Mr. Draghi has dropped hints about the plan. But although
on Monday he told European lawmakers that the ECB already has the
authority to buy bonds of up to three years duration, the plan
doesn’t enjoy unanimous support within or outside the central bank.
Jens Weidmann, the president of the powerful Deutsche Bundesbank, is
almost openly hostile to it and a German constitutional court ruling
next week (see below) could derail the program. The slightest sign
that these obstacles have stalled the bond-buying plan, and the euro
could lead a lot of “risky” currencies into a nosedive.
Friday, Sept. 7: U.S. nonfarm payrolls report. This seminal piece of
data will be the last piece of the economic jigsaw before the Federal
Reserve Open Market Committee decides on whether to deliver more
monetary stimulus. The apparent lack of a consensus on the FOMC (see
below) makes for an even more important jobs report than normal.
After employers added a surprisingly large 163,000 new jobs in July,
the market is looking for an August readout of 125,000. Anything
higher and the dollar could rally sharply against most of its
counterparts as traders would downgrade expectations for Fed action
next week.
Wednesday, Sept. 12: German constitutional court ruling. On what will
be a nerve-wracking day for euro traders, the highest court in the
euro zone’s most important creditor country is due to rule on the
constitutionality of the zone’s two bailout vehicles, the temporary
European Financial Stability Facility and the permanent European
Stability Mechanism. If the constitutional court were to render the
EFSF/ESM illegal, it would introduce chaos into the central
infrastructure around which the monetary union’s 17 member nations
have built their debt crisis resolution strategy. Even if the court
granted approval but conditioned it on the German parliament
overseeing the funds’ activities, this could add unwanted uncertainty
to the process. Mr. Draghi’s plans to buy Italian and Spanish bonds
would suffer, because he insists that countries must first seek
financing through these bodies before the ECB buys their bonds.
Wednesday, Sept. 12: Dutch elections. A victory for the Dutch
Socialist Party, which was until recently leading the polls, would
upend a German-led coalition of euro-zone countries that favor fiscal
austerity as a solution to the region’s troubles. It would add more
political uncertainty to the euro crisis.
Wednesday, Sept. 12: European bank regulations proposal. On this
jam-packed day, the European Commission will release its proposal for
bank regulatory reform in which it is expected to push for sweeping
oversight of euro-zone banks by the ECB. The problem again is
Germany, which wants to retain oversight of its small lenders. Yet
another source of intra-euro-zone tension.
Thursday, Sept. 13: FOMC’s two-day meeting concludes. Will the Fed
launch a third round of “quantitative easing” or not? Fed Chairman
Ben Bernanke suggested last week that he would back another round of
“QE” bond-buying. But other committee members, including potential
swing voter Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, seem lukewarm to
the idea. There could be a disappointment selloff in both stocks and
risky currencies if the Fed holds pat, but there’s also
Stay alert. This could be an interesting week.
Michael Casey is managing editor for the Americas at DJ FX Trader, a
foreign-exchange news service from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street
Journal.

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06-Sep 2012 Thursday 10:10 AM (4253 days ago)

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MARKET PULSE: United Environtech, Yangzijiang

6 Sep 2012

KEY IDEA

United Envirotech: More inroads into Shandong
United Envirotech Limited (UEL) has just signed a new agreement for a 30-year 20k m3/day BOT industrial waste-water project in Xintai City,
Shandong, for S$20m, with construction to start immediately and complete within 15 months. We also got an update on the upgrading works of three
industrial waste-water plants in Changyi City, Shandong, where UEL expects the works to complete by end-2012; existing tariffs to also improve once
higher discharge standard is reached. In light of the latest contract win and potentially more contract wins in the pipeline (we estimate that UEL
has the financial capacity to finance up to S$245m worth of projects), we are bumping up our FY13 revenue forecast by 13% and earnings by 27%.
Applying the same 13.5x valuation peg to FY13F EPS, our fair value improves from S$0.40 to S$0.50. Maintain BUY. (Carey Wong)

MORE REPORTS

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding: Difficult environment spurs new initiatives
According to newswires and shipbrokers, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJ) has secured an order for the construction of four 82,000DWT bulk carriers
from Hong Kong-based Everbright Metal. At a price tag of US$26m/unit, these vessel orders are close to newbuild prices in Aug published by RS
Platou. We estimate that YZJ has secured new orders worth about US$400m YTD, underscoring a slow year in terms of order flow. In our view, the
greatly reduced new order flow for traditional vessels that Chinese yards have been reliant on will only accelerate the transformation of the
Chinese shipbuilding industry, and yards that have the balance sheet and resources are likely to emerge stronger if they persevere in the yard
transformation process. In the medium term, however, the outlook for Chinese yards remains dim. We have lowered our FY13 gross profit margin
assumptions for YZJ’s shipyard operations from 25.8% to 24.2% as vessel values have been trending lower. As such our fair value estimate slips from
S$1.08 to S$1.03. Maintain HOLD. (Low Pei Han)

For more information on the above, visit www.ocbcresearch.comforthe detailed report. NEWS HEADLINES - Blue-chip stocks closed slightly higher Wednesday as investors waited for this week's ECB meeting and data on US jobs. The Dow climbed 0.1% to 13,047.48. The S&P 500 Index closed 0.1% lower at 1,403.44. - Stamford Tyres’ 1Q13 net profit was S$6.81m, up 97% YoY. There was a gain of S$11.17m from the disposal of its 20%-owned China associate. - Global Logistics Properties has signed a pre-lease expansion agreement of about 74k sqm with a leading global e-commerce retailer, for its expanding fulfilment centre in GLP Park Wuqing in Tianjin, north China. - Advance SCT has received an offer to sell its 100% share stake in the loss-making Soon Sing Metal Trading Sdn Bhd (SSMT) for a consideration of S $447k, which is the book value of the net tangible assets of SSMT. - Tung Lok Restaurants announced that its subsidiaries have signed separate tenancy agreements for commercial space with Orchard Central. These agreements constitute interested party transactions.

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06-Sep 2012 Thursday 10:10 AM (4253 days ago)

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06-Sep 2012 Thursday 10:12 AM (4253 days ago)

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DBS. Living, Breathing Asia

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06-Sep 2012 Thursday 10:14 AM (4253 days ago)

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Singapore

Wired Daily

Page 3

Substantial Shareholders’ Transactions: 23 Aug – 30 Aug 2012

Stock Transacted Date Substantial Shareholder/ Director

Buy/Sell/

Conv

No of

('000)

Price Per

Share $

%Issued Cap

Before

Change

%Issued Cap

After Change

Jiutian Chemical 30-Aug-12 Anyag Longyu (HK) Dev * Buy 550 an 28.49 28.52

Swing Media Tech 30-Aug-12 Hui Yan Moon Buy 220 0.09 0.46 0.52

Swing Media Tech 30-Aug-12 Janies Ip * Buy 220 na 23.78 23.84

BRC Asia 29-Aug-12 Lingco Hldgs Buy 1826 0.13 5.28 5.49

Hartawan Hldgs 29-Aug-12 Cynthia Tan * Buy 268 0.14 22.94 22.97

Hartawan Hldgs 29-Aug-12 Winstedt Chong Buy 268 0.14 0.05 0.08

Hersing Corp 29-Aug-12 Harry Chua Buy 125 0.23 0.27 0.29

Raffles Education 29-Aug-12 Doris Chung * Buy 39 na 14.05 14.06

Raffles Education 29-Aug-12 Chew Hua Seng Buy 39 0.35 32.15 32.15

San Teh 29-Aug-12 Gui Kim Young * Buy 150 0.29 0.17 0.21

Swing Media Tech 29-Aug-12 Janies Ip * Buy 860 na 23.55 23.78

Swing Media Tech 29-Aug-12 Hui Yan Moon * Buy 860 0.09 0.23 0.46

TMC Education 29-Aug-12 Chin Kon Yuen * Buy 1 0.07 16.17 16.17

TMC Education 29-Aug-12 Yeow Cheng Khim Buy 1 0.07 16.17 16.17

BRC Asia 28-Aug-12 Sia Ling Sing * Buy 1826 0.13 27.37 27.58

BRC Asia 28-Aug-12 Lingco Marine * Buy 1826 na 5.28 5.49

Hartawan Hldgs 28-Aug-12 Cynthia Tan * Buy 314 0.14 22.9 22.94

Hartawan Hldgs 28-Aug-12 Winstedt Chong Buy 314 0.14 0.01 0.05

JB Foods 28-Aug-12 Tey How Keong Buy 500 0.29 0.13 0.25

KS Energy 28-Aug-12 Richard James Wiluan Buy 43 na 55.35 55.36

KS Energy 28-Aug-12 Rija Holdings * Buy 43 na 55.35 55.36

KS Energy 28-Aug-12 Kris Taenar Wiluan * Buy 43 0.72 55.35 55.36

KS Energy 28-Aug-12 Pacific One Energy Buy 43 na 55.35 55.36

LMA Int'l 28-Aug-12 Porter Olin LLC * Sell 1500 na 14.12 13.64

M Development 28-Aug-12 Value Capital Asset Mgmt Sell 130476 na 12.9 0

Pacific Healthcare 28-Aug-12 Pacific Investments Buy 1 na 7.53 7.53

Pacific Healthcare 28-Aug-12 William Cheong * Buy 1 0.1 11.9 11.9

Raffles Education 28-Aug-12 Doris Chung * Buy 261 na 14.02 14.05

Raffles Education 28-Aug-12 Chew Hua Seng Buy 261 0.35 32.12 32.15

Sakari Resources 28-Aug-12 PTT Mining , PTT Pub Co, PTT Int'l Buy 73158 na 0 6.43

Swing Media Tech 28-Aug-12 Janies Ip * Buy 850 na 23.32 23.55

Swing Media Tech 28-Aug-12 Hui Yan Moon Buy 850 0.09 0 0.23

Tung Lok Restaurants 28-Aug-12 Goi Seng Hui * Buy 1412 0.21 16.86 17.87

Tung Lok Restaurants 28-Aug-12 Tee Yih Jia Buy 1412 0.21 16.86 17.87

C&G Env 27-Aug-12 C&G Hldgs (HK) Buy 16800 na 77.87 79.6

C&G Env 27-Aug-12 Lam Chik Tsan * Buy 16800 na 77.87 79.6

C&G Env 27-Aug-12 Lin Yan * Buy 16800 0.11 77.87 79.6

Giken Sakata 27-Aug-12 Tan Kay Guan Buy 250 7.5 0.06 0.25

JB Foods 27-Aug-12 Tey How Keong Buy 500 0.29 0 0.13

Sri Trang Agro-Industry 27-Aug-12 Prasit Panidkul Sell 500 0.59 0.67 0.63

Teledata 27-Aug-12 Tsai Feng-An * Buy 14105 na 13.49 14.27

Teledata 27-Aug-12 Viktoria Capital * Buy 14105 na 13.49 14.27

Teledata 27-Aug-12 Meritus Resources Buy 14105 na 13.49 14.27

AEM Hldgs 24-Aug-12 Orion Phoenix Buy 560 na 23.87 24

AEM Hldgs 24-Aug-12 Novo Tellus PE Fund 1 * Buy 560 na 23.87 24

CordLife Group 24-Aug-12 Yee Pinh Jeremy Buy 100 0.53 0.66 0.7

CSE Global 24-Aug-12 Amundi Group * Sell 56 na 6 5.99

CSE Global 24-Aug-12 Amundi S A * Sell 56 na 6 5.99

Intraco 24-Aug-12 Melanie Chew Ng Fung Ning * Buy 1769 na 22.28 24.07

Intraco 24-Aug-12 Chew Leong Chee * Buy 1769 na 22.28 24.07

Intraco 24-Aug-12 Resource Pacific Hldgs * Buy 1769 na 22.28 24.07

Intraco 24-Aug-12 Aisa Resource Corp * Buy 1769 na 22.28 24.07

Intraco 24-Aug-12 Representations Int'l * Buy 1769 na 22.28 24.07

Intraco 24-Aug-12 Macondray & Co * Buy 1769 na 22.28 24.07

Intraco 24-Aug-12 Amtrek Investment Buy 1769 na 22.28 24.07

M Development 24-Aug-12 Value Capital Asset Mgmt Sell 17874 na 14.7 12.9

Sri Trang Agro-Industry 24-Aug-12 Prasit Panidkul Sell 200 0.58 0.7 0.7

CapitaRetail China Trt 23-Aug-12 AIA Group * Buy 404 1.48 4.95 5.01

China Jishan 23-Aug-12 Jin Guan Liang * Buy 4 0.08 71.31 71.31

China Jishan 23-Aug-12 Jin Cheng Int'l Hldgs Buy 4 0.08 71.31 71.31

Pacific Healthcare 23-Aug-12 William Cheong * Buy 12 0.1 11.9 11.9

Sri Trang Agro-Industry 23-Aug-12 Prasit Panidkul Sell 200 0.59 0.7 0.7

SunPower Group 23-Aug-12 Artur Jurczakowski Sell 400 na 7.57 7.45

*Deemed Interest

Source: Business Times; SA: Share Allotment; ST: Share Transfer, B/R: Bonus/Rights Issue; OE: Option Exercise; PL: Placement Shares

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