MARKET WATCH 13 Sep 2012 - AsianBookie.Com Forums

13-Sep 2012 Thursday 9:46 AM (4246 days ago)

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STI           3,030     +13    +0.44%
DOW         13,333    +10    +0.07%
S&P           1,437     +3      +0.24%
FTSE          5,782      -10     -0.18%
DAX            7,344      +34      +0.46%
GOLD           1,735     +1       +0.07%
OIL              97.00       -0.03   -0.03%
PRE-HK OPEN     -29pts

CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL RISK APPETITE (EQUITY):   -1.35 (11 Sep 2012)
CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL RISK APPETITE              :    -1.18 (11 Sep 2012)

13 Sep 2012 09:13

*DJ Global Logistic Properties Target Raised To S$2.59 From S$2.27 By Daiwa

13 Sep 2012 09:12

*DJ Raffles Education +9.6% at S$0.40; Oei Hong Leong Becomes Substantial Holder

13 Sep 2012 08:46

DJ MARKET TALK: Singapore's STI May Retreat; 3000 Support Likely

0046 GMT [Dow Jones] Singapore's STI may give back some of Wednesday's gains, tracking regional peers' modest declines, as the market waits for its next Godot. While the German Constitutional Court's decision Wednesday allowing ESM to proceed was a relief, "'selling on fact' capped moves as we shift to the FOMC roll of the dice later tonight," says Andrew Taylor, markets strategist at GFT Markets, in a note. "We may start to see more players lower expectations as the one-sided position for QE3 starts to even out a bit. This will see risk assets capped with a slight preference for the downside." With the market banking on QE3, if none is announced, "those caught long and wrong on risk-asset positions will need to dump fairly quickly," he notes. The STI ended Wednesday up 0.4% at 3029.66. 3000 remains support, while 3040 offers resistance. F&N (F99.SG) is halted after ThaiBev (Y92.SG) and TCC Assets made a mandatory general offer at S$8.88/share for all of F&N, complicating Heineken's (HEIA.AE) bid for F&N's APB (A46.SG) holdings. Olam (O32.SG) plans to expand Indian sugar-refining capacity, an executive said. Genting Singapore (G13.SG) was fined S$600,000 for violating casino laws and some employees face criminal charges.

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13-Sep 2012 Thursday 9:47 AM (4246 days ago)

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13-Sep 2012 Thursday 9:49 AM (4246 days ago)

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Fed Seen Starting QE3 as It Extends Zero-Rate Forecast: Economy
2012-09-12 14:41:56.104 GMT

By Joshua Zumbrun and Jeff Kearns
Sept. 12 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve is likely to
announce a third round of bond purchases tomorrow, according to
almost two-thirds of economists in a Bloomberg survey, while
also extending the duration of its zero-interest-rate policy
into 2015.
Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his colleagues on the Federal
Open Market Committee will once again roll out unconventional
policies to bolster economic growth of less than 2 percent in
the second quarter and bring down unemployment stuck above 8
percent for 43 straight months, the survey showed.
“The Fed clearly wants to do more,” said Nick Sargen, a
former San Francisco Fed economist who oversees $40 billion as
chief investment officer at Fort Washington Investment Advisors
in Cincinnati. “The economy is looking lackluster, and the Fed
has said all along that they feel it’s almost immoral that the
unemployment rate is as high as it is.”
Two rounds of bond purchases totaling $2.3 trillion have
failed to breathe life into the labor market, which Bernanke
said last month is a “grave concern.” That means policy makers
will probably announce a new open-ended plan tied to a sustained
improvement in the economy rather than specify an amount of
purchases and an end-date, according to 32 of the 73 economists
in the survey. Twenty-two expect a fixed duration and amount.
The FOMC plans to release a statement tomorrow at about
12:30 p.m. after a two-day meeting. At 2 p.m. the Fed will
release policy makers’ forecasts for unemployment, inflation and
the expected path of the federal funds rate over the next
several years. Bernanke plans to hold a press conference at
about 2:15 p.m.

Europe Crisis

The euro strengthened to a four-month high and stocks rose
for a second day as a German court allowed ratification of a
bailout fund, easing the European credit crisis that the Fed has
identified as a threat to the U.S. expansion.
The euro appreciated 0.3 percent to $1.2896 at 10:26 a.m.
in New York. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 0.3 percent, and
the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 0.2 percent.
In the U.K. today, a report showed that jobless claims
unexpectedly fell the most in more than two years in August as
the economy continued to create jobs in the face of a recession.
Stocks and commodities have rallied on expectations of
easing by the Fed. From Aug. 1 through yesterday, the S&P 500
rose 4.3 percent to 1,433.56, near the four-year high reached
last week. The S&P GSCI Spot Index that tracks the price of 24
commodities advanced 6.8 percent.
Most economists predict that in a new round of easing the
Fed would buy a mix of Treasury notes and mortgage-backed
securities.

Mortgage Debt

The central bank would buy $300 billion in Treasuries and
$400 billion in mortgage debt, according to the median estimates
of economists who expect a fixed sum of purchases.
Economists expecting open-ended asset-buying predict
monthly purchases of $30 billion in government debt and $35
billion in housing debt. After a year, the Fed would expand its
balance sheet by a total of $780 billion.
Policy makers may forgo new bond purchases at this meeting
to solidify a consensus on the issue among themselves or to
better prepare the public for the move, said Michael Hanson,
senior U.S. economist at Bank of America Corp. in New York.
“One reason for waiting would be if the Fed is thinking of
structuring this not as a fixed quantity but as a more open-
ended plan, but they don’t have the details together yet and
don’t have consensus on how to do that,” said Hanson, a former
economist at the Fed board in Washington.

Open-Ended

San Francisco Fed President John Williams, Chicago’s
Charles Evans and Boston’s Eric Rosengren have called for open-
ended purchases. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Aug.
31 he prefers the open-ended approach yet would like to see more
data before taking action.
In the first round of bond buying, the Fed in November 2008
began purchasing $1.25 trillion of mortgage-backed securities,
$175 billion of agency debt and $300 billion of Treasuries to
provide further stimulus after the benchmark rate was cut almost
to zero in December 2008.
In the second round, announced in November 2010 and lasting
through the following June, the Fed bought $600 billion of
Treasuries.
Bernanke said Aug. 31 in a speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming,
that a Fed study found that large-scale asset purchases may have
raised the level of economic output by almost 3 percent and
boosted private payroll employment by more than 2 million jobs.
U.S. gross domestic product expanded 2.4 percent in 2010 after
contractions of 0.3 percent in 2008 and 3.1 percent in 2009.
Bernanke didn’t describe the options for future
quantitative easing.

Risk of Slump

Some Fed officials have spoken so enthusiastically about
new easing that a decision to keep policy unchanged tomorrow
could trigger a slump in markets, said Neal Soss, chief
economist for Credit Suisse Group AG in New York.
“Disappointing the markets doesn’t seem like a good
strategy, but it’s not obvious how much more GDP to expect if
they fulfill market expectations for more action,” said Soss, a
former New York Fed economist.
Central bankers are also poised to extend until 2015 their
forecast that economic conditions will probably warrant holding
interest rates near zero through late 2014. Sixty-eight percent
of economists surveyed expect an extension at tomorrow’s
meeting.
At the July 31-Aug. 1 FOMC meeting, a few participants
wanted to replace the calendar date with guidance linked to the
economic conditions that would warrant raising rates, according
to minutes of the gathering. Fifteen percent of economists said
the central bank will probably tie the low-rate policy to the
performance of the economy.

For Related News and Information:
Federal Reserve rates, data, news: FED <GO>
Federal funds rate: FDTR INDEX GP M <GO>
Fed balance-sheet graph: FARBAST INDEX GP M <GO>
Central bank portal: CENB <GO>
Central bank monetary-policy rates: CBRT <GO>
Global economy watch: GEW <GO>
U.S. economic snapshot: ESNP US <GO>
U.S. economic forecasts: ECFC US <GO>

--With assistance from Catarina Saraiva in Washington. Editors:
James Tyson, Christopher Wellisz

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13-Sep 2012 Thursday 9:50 AM (4246 days ago)

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Sunny Side Up: ST Engineering: When the Tough Keep On Rollin’; Buy, TP
SGD3.78 | Tat Hong Holdings: Scaling New Heights; Maintain BUY, TP SGD1.74

What’s cooking

ST Engineering: When the Tough Keep On Rollin’; Buy, TP SGD3.78

STE SP | Mkt Cap USD8.7b | ADTV USD6.0m
· Recent contract wins have helped cement our view that STE
remains one of the top defensive picks. With a target price of SGD3.78
pegged to mid-cycle valuations of 19x FY2013 PER and the best yet to come,
we maintain our BUY call.
· SGD179m in contracts recently announced by ST Marine reaffirms
strong contract win momentum despite the tough economic conditions.
· We have assumed a 9% net margin for our FY12-14 forecasts,
but there may be upside potential as these are conservative assumptions.
STE’s earnings resilience comes from diverse businesses that help shield
it from sector-specific shocks
Click here for full report
[email protected]

Tat Hong Holdings: Scaling New Heights; Maintain BUY, TP SGD1.74

TAT SP | Mkt Cap USD503.7m | ADTV USD0.5m
The strong performance of the past few quarters suggests that Tat
Hong’s recovery is taking place even faster than we expected. We
raise our net profit forecasts for the next three years on the back
of higher rental rate estimates. We maintain our BUY rating with a
higher target price of SGD1.74, pegged to 15x FY3/13 PER.
Tat Hong is experiencing the best time in its operating history with
booming demand from all countries it operates in. It is unnecessary
to over concern on potential Australia mining slowdown.
We believe Tat Hong will continue to enjoy a pricing advantage over
its peers going forward, as no players in the region can achieve a
fleet size comparable to Tat Hong’s in the short term.

Roadshows & events
Regional

17-21 Sep
TH Marketing
Thailand Strategy
17-28 Sep
MY/SG/HK
Asia Macro
18-19 Sep
SG/KL Marketing
Philippines Strategy
20-21 Sep
HK Marketing
Philippines Strategy

Visited last week*
Company
Initial Impression
Analyst
FJ Benjamin
Positive
Alison
Swiber
Positive
Chee Keong
Yanlord
Positive
Wei Bin
Ying Li International
Positive
Wei Bin
China Minzhong
Positive
Wei Bin

* includes conference calls

Visiting soon
Lay Choon
14-Sep
Alison
XMH Holdings
14-Sep
Greg

(Maybank KE) Sunny Side Up: ST Engineering: When the Tough Keep On
Rollin’; Buy, TP SGD3.78 |
Tat Hong Holdings: Scaling New Heights; BUY, TP SGD1.74

Singapore Research Team

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13-Sep 2012 Thursday 9:50 AM (4246 days ago)

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13-Sep 2012 Thursday 9:51 AM (4246 days ago)

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MARKET PULSE: CapitaRetail China, Roxy-Pacific

13 Sep 2012

KEY IDEA

CapitaRetail China Trust: China aiming for 15% p.a. retail sales growth
According to the 12th Five-year Development Plan for Domestic Trade released by the State Council recently, China aims to grow its retail sales of
consumer goods at an average annual growth rate of 15% for 2011-2015. Beijing, which accounted for 67% of CRCT’s 2Q12 gross property revenue, saw
overall retail sales grew 13.0% in 1H12. While Beijing’s 1H12 expenditure per capita only expanded by 3.6%, disposable income climbed 6.4%, which
means that consumers have growing amounts of unutilized “firepower”. We are confident that CRCT can achieve healthy double-digit positive rental
reversions for 2012 for its multi-tenanted malls. The only listed pure-play China retail REIT globally, CRCT is our top pick in the overseas retail
REIT space. We maintain our BUY rating on CRCT and our fair value of S$1.70. (Sarah Ong)

MORE REPORTS

Roxy-Pacific Holdings: Limited impact from new shoebox rules
The URA recently enacted caps on the number of units, based on an average 70 sqm size, in non-landed residential projects outside the central area.
In addition, a cap based on a 100 sqm average, originally for the Telok Kurau estate, was extended to Kovan and Joo Chiat/Jalan Euno. We see limited
impact for ROXY’s pipeline of projects as two of the five recent acquisitions lie in the central area, with the remaining three sites subject to an
unchanged 70sqm average. Since we had upgraded ROXY to a buy rating on 20 Mar 2012, the share price has appreciated 32.4% to date, significantly
outperforming the STI (up 0.9%). We believe, however, that management’s execution remains spot on and further upside likely lies ahead. Maintain BUY
with a higher fair value estimate of S$0.54 (25% RNAV disc), versus S$0.50 previously, as we lower the RNAV discount to reflect a higher
sell-through in existing projects and careful execution. (Eli Lee)

For more information on the above, visit www.ocbcresearch.comforthe detailed report. NEWS HEADLINES - US stocks finished slightly higher Wednesday after Germany’s top court declined to block a euro-zone rescue fund. The Dow climbed 0.08% to 13,333.35, its highest finish since Dec 2007. The S&P 500 Index rose 0.2% to 1,436.56. - Thai Beverage and TCC Assets have increased their combined stake in Fraser & Neave to 30.36%, thus triggering a mandatory general offer to buy the remaining F&N shares at S$8.88 each. - Low Keng Huat reported a 54% YoY rise in net profit to S$26.9m for 2Q13. Revenue rose 17% to S$35.2m. - SembCorp will be investing a total of RMB326.6m (~S$63.5m) to develop centralised utilities facilities in the Fushun Petrochemical and Fine Chemical Park in Liaoning Province, China. - STATS ChipPAC has announced the launch of its Quad Flat No-Lead package design kit for Agilent Technologies’ Advanced Design System, which is an electronic design automation software.

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13-Sep 2012 Thursday 9:52 AM (4246 days ago)

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Today’s Focus

Hi-P - Launch of iPhone 5 positive; FY12F earnings expected to grow 16% to S$52m, with further upside in FY13F to S$74m if momentum can sustain. Maintain BUY and TP of S$1.06.

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13-Sep 2012 Thursday 9:52 AM (4246 days ago)

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Singapore

Wired Daily

Page 2

Yanlord Land achieved Rmb1.31bn sales in August,

touching the high end of expectations, with 71% of sales

target locked-in. With new launches in Nanjing, Tianjin and

Shanghai, our analyst believes Yanlord’s September sales

will be decent. For September-December, monthly sales of

Rmb866m would be enough to meet the sales target (vs its

YTD average monthly sales of Rmb1.1bn). Maintain HOLD,

TP S$1.24.

Mr Oei Hong Leong has become a substantial shareholder

of private education provider Raffles Education. Mr Oei

bought 11.55m shares in an open market purchase at 32.6

cents apiece, raising his direct 3.51% stake to 4.86%.

Including a deemed stake of 1.28%, his holding is now

6.14%.

World Precision recently secured three orders with an

aggregate value of RMB10.0m to deliver 28 units of mid-tohigh

end stamping machines to home appliance and auto

sectors. The group believes that the recent order wins were

a result of the various economic stimulus measures by

China’s central and provincial governments.

GuocoLand has sold about 40 units or 10% of the total 381

units in its freehold Leedon Residence condo in the Holland

Road area, according to Business Times. It began a private

preview of the project in mid-August at an average price of

$2,000 psf. The developer is not offering any discount or

stamp duty absorption.

US markets rose after Germany’s constitutional court cleared

the way for the ESM. Investors also bet that the FED will

announce further stimulus at tonight’s FOMC meeting. Still, we

note that financial markets have been pricing in the possibility

of more QE in recent weeks – i.e. little upside surprise factor.

Share Buy-Back

Company D.O.T. Buy/Sell No.of shares S$/shr

CDW Holdings 12-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 200,000 0.0960

GK Goh Holdings 12-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 135,000 0.7300

Global Testing Corporation 12-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 363,000 0.0641

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 12-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 9.3600

Viking Offshore and Marine Ltd 12-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 513,000 0.1100

Avi-Tech Electronics Limited 11-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 250,000 0.0750

CDW Holdings 11-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 350,000 0.0957

Food Empire Holdings 11-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 43,000 0.4200

GK Goh Holdings 11-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 41,000 0.7250

Global Testing Corporation 11-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 865,000 0.0639

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 11-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 9.3300

Viking Offshore and Marine Ltd 11-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 20,000 0.1090

GK Goh Holdings 10-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 87,000 0.7250

Pan-United Corporation Ltd 10-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 0.6500

Global Testing Corporation 10-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 907,000 0.0630

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 10-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 9.3100

Avi-Tech Electronics Limited 10-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 237,000 0.0750

CDW Holdings 10-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 150,000 0.0940

HG Metal Manufacturing Ltd 10-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 433,000 0.0830

Kinergy Ltd 07-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 48,000 0.1750

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 07-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 31,000 9.3300

GK Goh Holdings 07-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 95,000 0.7250

CDW Holdings 07-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 472,000 0.0934

Viking Offshore and Marine Ltd 07-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 50,000 0.1090

Macquarie Int'l Infra Fund Ltd 07-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 2,500,000 0.5300

Wee Hur Holdings 07-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 442,000 0.2756

Sarin Technologies 07-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 0.9000

CDW Holdings Limited 06-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 162,000 0.0931

Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp 06-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 87,000 9.1800

Avi-Tech Electronics Limited 06-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 100,000 0.0750

Viking Offshore and Marine Ltd 06-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 190,000 0.1080

Macquarie Int'l Infra Fund Ltd 06-Sep-12 Share Buy-Back 150,000 0.5300

Source: SGX Masnet

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13-Sep 2012 Thursday 9:53 AM (4246 days ago)

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Page 3

Substantial Shareholders’ Transactions: 31 Aug – 6 Sep 2012

Stock Transacted Date Substantial Shareholder/ Director

Buy/Sell/

Conv

No of

('000)

Price Per

Share $

%Issued Cap

Before

Change

%Issued Cap

After Change

Jiutian Chemical 06-Sep-12 Anyang Longyu (HK) Dev * Buy 500 na 28.52 28.55

Pacific Healthcare 06-Sep-12 Pacific Investments Buy 100 na 7.55 7.58

Contel Corp 05-Sep-12 Joanne Ng Sell 7150 na 7.46 6.12

Memstar 05-Sep-12 Hong Pian Tee Buy 611 0.06 0.08 0.1

Perennial China Retail Trt 05-Sep-12 Kuok Khoon Hong * Buy 500 0.48 16.96 17

Perennial China Retail Trt 05-Sep-12 Pua Seck Guan * Buy 500 0.48 3.97 4.01

Raffles Education 05-Sep-12 Chew Kok Chor Buy 20 0.31 0.06 0.06

8Telecom Int'l 04-Sep-12 Ye Tianyun Buy 105 0.14 2.56 2.59

KS Energy 04-Sep-12 Richard James Wiluan * Buy 40 na 55.39 55.4

KS Energy 04-Sep-12 Rija Holdings * Buy 40 na 55.39 55.4

KS Energy 04-Sep-12 Kris Taenar Wiluan * Buy 40 na 55.39 55.4

LHT Holdings 04-Sep-12 Neo Koon Boo Buy 1000 0.14 22.25 22.72

LHT Holdings 04-Sep-12 Yap Mui Kee Buy 1010 0.14 11.52 12

LionGold Corp 04-Sep-12 Dato Md Wira Dani * Buy 900 1.26 5.11 5.22

Pacific Healthcare 04-Sep-12 Pacific Investments Buy 68 na 7.53 7.55

Pacific Healthcare 04-Sep-12 Willian Cheong * Buy 68 0.1 11.9 11.92

Perennial China Retail Trt 04-Sep-12 Kuok Khoon Hong * Buy 393 0.48 16.92 16.96

Perennial China Retail Trt 04-Sep-12 Pua Seck Guan * Buy 393 0.48 3.93 3.97

Sakari Resources 04-Sep-12 PTT Mining , PTT Public Co Ltd Buy 26185 na 8.74 11.04

ABR Holdings 03-Sep-12 Ang Yee Lim Buy 190 0.63 40.07 40.16

BRC Asia 03-Sep-12 Lau Eng Tiong * Buy 900 0.13 8.16 8.27

BRC Asia 03-Sep-12 Lau Eng Lin * Buy 900 0.13 8.16 8.27

BRC Asia 03-Sep-12 Lau Eng Hoe * Buy 900 0.13 8.16 8.27

BRC Asia 03-Sep-12 Lau Eng Seng * Buy 900 0.13 8.16 8.27

BRC Asia 03-Sep-12 Sin Teck Guan Pte Ltd Buy 900 na 8.16 8.27

CSE Global 03-Sep-12 Amundi S A Buy 456 na 5.95 6.04

CSE Global 03-Sep-12 Amundi Group * Buy 456 na 5.95 6.04

LionGold Corp 03-Sep-12 Nomura Holdings * Buy 1300 na 4.87 5.03

LionGold Corp 03-Sep-12 Nomura Int'l Plc * Buy 800 1.24 1.05 1.15

LionGold Corp 03-Sep-12 Nomura Int'l Plc Buy 500 1.24 3.81 3.87

Perennial China Retail Trt 03-Sep-12 Kuok Khoon Hong * Buy 100 0.48 16.92 16.92

Perennial China Retail Trt 03-Sep-12 Pua Seck Guan * Buy 100 0.48 3.92 3.93

Swing Media Tech 03-Sep-12 Janies Ip * Buy 110 na 23.84 23.87

Swing Media Tech 03-Sep-12 Hui Yan Moon Buy 110 0.1 0.52 0.55

8Telecom Int'l 31-Aug-12 Ye Tianyun Buy 198 0.14 2.52 2.56

AVI-Tech Electronics 31-Aug-12 Goh Chung Meng Buy 100 0.07 0.02 0.05

Fujian Zhenyun 31-Aug-12 Lim Cheng Kee Buy 30 0.14 0 0.03

Hartawan Hldgs 31-Aug-12 Winstedt Chong Buy 41 0.14 0.08 0.08

Haw Par 31-Aug-12 Han Ah Kuan Sell 10 6.32 0.03 0.02

HLN Technologies 31-Aug-12 Wa Kok Liang Buy 12 na 14.25 14.25

KS Energy 31-Aug-12 Richard James Wiluan * Buy 60 na 55.38 55.39

KS Energy 31-Aug-12 Rija Holdings * Buy 60 na 55.38 55.39

KS Energy 31-Aug-12 Kris Taenar Wiluan * Buy 60 0.75 55.38 55.39

KS Energy 31-Aug-12 Pacific One Energy Buy 60 0.75 55.38 55.39

M Development 31-Aug-12 Value Capital Asset Mgtm Sell 173010 na 14.6 0

M Development 31-Aug-12 Lin Chung Ming Buy 150546 na 11.5 24.24

Perennial China Retail Trt 31-Aug-12 Kuok Khoon Hong * Buy 307 0.47 16.88 16.92

Perennial China Retail Trt 31-Aug-12 HPRY Hldgs * Buy 307 0.47 13.66 13.68

Perennial China Retail Trt 31-Aug-12 Pua Seck Guan * Buy 307 0.47 3.69 3.71

Petra Foods 31-Aug-12 Aberdeen Asset Mgtm * Buy 1218 na 6.87 7.07

Petra Foods 31-Aug-12 Aberdeen Asset Mgtm Asia * Buy 1218 na 6.87 7.07

*Deemed Interest

Source: Business Times; SA: Share Allotment; ST: Share Transfer, B/R: Bonus/Rights Issue; OE: Option Exercise; PL: Placement Shares

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